MLB Offseason Analysis Series: New York Mets

Mets

During the 2018 MLB Offseason, we will be doing an in depth look at each team’s situations for the offseason and offer some insights to what we believe would make sense.

We start off with the NL East, which looks to have one of the more fascinating winters upcoming.  With the Phillies, Braves, and Mets all possibly having large spending budgets, the Nationals facing a franchise-altering decision, and the Marlins being… well… the Marlins, it has all the makings of absolute chaos that hasn’t been seen since OJ decided to fire up the ol’ Bronco.

Comment below, hit us up with questions/thoughts on Twitter (@TheCombineBlog), or post your best NL East memes on our Facebook post and keep the discussion going.

New York Mets

Departing FAs: 

Jerry Blevins RP
Austin Jackson OF
Devin Mesoraco C
AJ Ramos RP
Jose Reyes INF
Jose Lobaton C

 

Budget:

  • ~$27M

 

3 Biggest Needs:

  1. 3B
  2. RP
  3. 1B

 

Top 5 FA Targets:

  1. Josh Donaldson, 3B

With David Wright retiring (as if he really contributed anything on the field the last handful of seasons), the Mets need a 3B and what better fit than Josh Donaldson.  With his injury history, he fits the mold perfectly… but if he stays healthy, that would be quite the middle of the order to get through.

  1. Jeurys Familia, RP

The Mets bullpen was bad… real bad.  They ranked 28th last year in bullpen ERA and a huge reason why DeGrom couldn’t get many wins.  I think the Mets sign 2 high quality arms this offseason and Familia represents the first of those.  A familia(r) face… booooo, bad joke… he would come moderately priced and has experience in the NL East.  As Kelvin Herrera showed last year with the Nats, it doesn’t always translate over.

  1. Cody Allen, RP

The second of the two arms being Cody Allen.  Coming off of a down year, he fits into the Mets price range and gives them two RPs with closing experience.

  1. Yasmani Grandal, C

The Mets need a catcher and some pop in their lineup… check and check.

  1. Mark Reynolds, 1B

Nothing fancy here.  The Mets need a 1B and he could form a solid platoon with Dominic Smith… if Smith ever decides to impress in the majors.

 

Top 3 Trade Ideas:

  1. Mets trade OF Jay Bruce to the Indians for 2B Jason Kipnis and P Danny Salazar

Jay Bruce is making $28M over the next 2 seasons and the Mets need to get younger and have a pretty full outfield with Conforto, Nimmo, and eventually Cespedes.  So rather than paying him to play at 1B most of the time, it would be wise to reallocate those dollars.  In come the Indians with their own payroll constraints and needs.  With a potential need for a RF and a bad contract of their own in Kipnis, the money works out almost perfectly.  Kipnis makes $14.7M next year (followed by a $2.5M buyout in 2020) and Salazar is set to pull in the range of $6.5M in his last year thru arbitration.  End story, the Indians save ~$7M this year and fill a need from a surplus and the Mets fill 2 needs at a modest price increase.

  1. Mets trade OF Juan Lagares & SP Jason Vargas to the Giants for 1B Brandon Belt

The Mets have no space, need, or want for Lagares for the $9.5M he has remaining on his contract thru 2019 in New York.  Vargas has $10M left (including his buyout for 2020) and could easily be replaced internally.  The Giants have some payroll constraints and need to open 1B up for Buster Posey soon with Joey Bart coming up the system.  Belt is due $17.2M/year for the next 3 seasons and could provide some stability at 1B/OF in New York.

  1. Mets trade 3B Todd Frazier to the Cardinals for 2B/OF Kolton Wong + $5M cash

Todd Frazier is making $9M in the last year of his contract while Wong has 2 years and $17.75M remaining (including 2021 buyout).  The Cardinals could use some pop at 3B and shift Carpenter elsewhere, while the Mets could use some help at 2B and defensive versatility.

 

Bold Prediction:

  • Mets sign SP Jacob DeGrom and SP Noah Syndergaard to long term extensions + sign SS Manny Machado

The Mets and their new GM decide to make a splash and lock up their two aces long term and sign Manny Machado to a record deal.  To help alleviate some of the financial constraints of such a deal, the Mets will backload the deal to coincide with Cespedes and Wright coming off the books after the 2020 season.  With a core of DeGrom, Thor, Manny, Nimmo, Conforto, and some of their near-MLB ready prospects… the Mets could actually be relevant again.

More Offseason Predictions

 

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Author: @TheCombineJosh

The Combine is where sports and and the fans can unite and discuss their favorite topics. Stay tuned as we grow!

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