Week 11 NFL DFS Picks

JB gives his top NFL DFS picks for Week 11

Quarterback

Carson Wentz, PHI @ NO (FD – $7,700, DK – $6,300)

Easily the top play of the slate for me here. The Saints allow the most FPPG and second most passing yards to opposing QBs, and Wentz has scored over 22 FP is 3 of his last 4 – against some respectable defenses. Playing in the friendly confines of the Dome down in Nola, the offenses will be flying in this contest and Wentz is going to have to throw the ball a ton to stay in contention with Brees in the highest O/U on the slate. The prices are too good to pass up, especially on FanDuel where he is only the 8th most expensive QB.

Eli Manning, NYG vs TB (FD – $6,700, DK – $5,200)

Nothing bold with my two QB picks – but I take what the field is giving me, and this slate has the two worst defenses for opposing signal callers. The Buccaneers have allowed the 2nd most FPPG and an astounding 23:1 TD:INT ratio this season. There’s almost no risk. Maybe negative game flow, but I don’t see a scenario where the G-Men pull ahead far enough to go away from throwing the ball in any match up. Even Eli Manning should find success against a defense allowing a league-worst 73.6 Cmp%. In his last tasty match up, against the defense-less Falcons, Eli scored a respectable 20.7 FP.

 

Running Back

Ezekiel Elliott, DAL @ ATL (FD – $8,400, DK – $8,500)

The Falcons have allowed the second most FPPG, fifth most Rushing TD, and second most Receiving TD to RBs. Here’s a list of RB facing the Falcons this season and their FP total that week: Ajayi (18.2), CMC (27.9), Kamara (34), Bernard (25.6), Conner (34.5), Barber (20.6), Barkley (24.4), AP (meh, almost his whole OLine died), and Chubb (35.9).

After two disappointing weeks in a row, Zeke bounced back in a huge way in Week 10, rushing for 151 yards and a score against PHI – adding six receptions and another score through the air. It was some nice foreshadowing for the feast he’s going to enjoy this week.

Theo Riddick, DET vs CAR (FD – $5,100, DK – $4,000)

No Golden Tate, no Marvin Jones, no Michael Roberts, no problem. That is, for your DFS roster – not necessarily the Lions. In the first week of post-Tate Lions football, Riddick caught 6 of 7 targets for 60 yards. Now with Marvin Jones sidelined, Kenny Golladay drawing most of the attention from the defense, and more than likely playing from behind most the game, Riddick should have a PPR-beauty of a game catching sidearm dump passes from the GOAT Matthew Stafford.

 

Wide Receiver

Golden Tate, PHI @ NO (FD – $6,600, DK – $5,500)

I’m not going Ertz. I’m not going Jeffery. For my QB/Weapon stack, I’m going with Golden Tate. Doug Pederson has already stated a larger role for Tate was coming in Week 11, plus a match up against PJ Williams is as good as it gets for a slot WR. Williams currently sits as the fourth worst-graded Cornerback according to Pro Football Focus. Despite giving up all them passing yards, the Saints are actually the 5th toughest defense against fantasy TEs, and Marshon Lattimore should be draped on Alshon. As long as Pederson stays true to his word, Tate should be in store for a massive game.

D.J. Moore, CAR @ DET (FD – $5,300, DK – $4,200)

There aren’t many match ups tastier than facing P.J. Williams, but then here comes the Detroit Lions secondary – not named Darius Slay. We can go ahead and safely assume Devin Funchess will be held in check all game by arguably the best CB in the league, and Torrey Smith has already been ruled out again. That means, depending on where he lines up play-to-play, D.J. Moore will be doing battle with Teez Tabor and Nevin Lawson. Let me tell you, I am a Lions fan, and I watch a lot of Lions football. These two are quite possibly the worst DBs I have watched on an NFL field. We all saw what the Bears did through the air last week with Slay sidelined. If the Panthers are moving the ball down the field consistently, which they will, it will be at the hands of Christian McCaffrey and D.J. Moore. He is a great value play this week despite the heartburn we all have from when he let us down two weeks ago.

Honorable Mentions: Kenny Golladay, DET vs CAR

 

Tight End

Evan Engram, NYG vs TB (FD – $5,800, DK – $4,100)

Even if you don’t go with Eli, you want at least one piece of the NYG offense this week. My top choice is Evan Engram. Tampa Bay has allowed the most yards and second most FPPG to opposing TEs. Engram has seen 18 targets over the last three games and should make the most of the them this week. He’s got the best match up on paper, and only the 7th highest salary among TE on the main slate.

Luke Willson, DET vs CAR (FD – $4,400, DK – $2,500)

Bare with me. No, the Lions offense cannot seem to support a fantasy TE. Yes, Stafford will look everywhere else before looking for Willson. But if there was an opportunity for Willson to be fantasy relevant, its now. Michael Roberts has been ruled out, and as previously discussed, the team is running low on WR. Then there’s the fact that the Panthers are handing out TD for free to opposing TE, allowing a league-high 8 on the season which has led to the highest FPPG allowed to the position. Four weeks ago Roberts had a two TD game….. maybe its Willson’s turn.

 

Defense

Pittsburgh Steelers @ JAX (FD – $3,800, DK – $2,900)

The Steelers have a top ten defense in terms of Total Yards and Scoring%, and are tied for the second most sacks. However they have been lacking in turnovers, which is where the Jaguars come in with the 5th highest turnover total. Pittsburgh the offensive firepower to get a lead on the Jags early, and force Blake Bortles into catch-up mode, which is exactly what we want.

 

*Photo by Keith Allison

Advertisements

Author: RowdyRotoJB

I'm Rowdy, I love Roto, and they call me JB.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s