MLB Offseason Analysis Series: Arizona Diamondbacks

I take a look at the Diamondbacks who are starting a rebuild… with no foundation to support it…

ARI.png

 

For each division, we will be doing an in-depth look at each team’s situations for the offseason and offer some insights to what would make sense.

On to the NL West, where the Dodgers will try to continue their tradition of losing in the playoffs, the Rockies start the farewell tour for Arenado, the Diamondbacks say goodbye to relevancy, the Giants start strapping dynamite to the walls to begin a rebuild, and the Padres ironically look to be competitive in 2019.

Comment below, hit us up with questions/thoughts on Twitter (@TheCombineBlog), or post your best NL West memes on our Facebook and keep the discussion going.

 

Arizona Diamondbacks

 

Departing FAs:

Patrick Corbin SP
A.J. Pollock OF
Jon Jay OF
Daniel Descalso INF
Jake Diekman RP
Clay Buchholz SP
Chris Stewart C

 

Budget:

  • ~$8M

 

Biggest Needs:

  1. SP
  2. OF
  3. RP

 

Top FA Targets:

  1. Garrett Richards, SP

If you’re rebuilding, you need to stack assets for the future.  Garrett Richards is borderline an ace when healthy and will likely miss the entire 2019 season… but as a result, you can sign him to a cheap deal like the Twins did with Pineda and have him rehab under your doctors.  He would then be a potential trade asset in 2020 if they aren’t competing.

  1. Drew Pomeranz, SP

Pomeranz had previous success in the NL West… a modest deal could make him an attractive piece for the Diamondbacks.  A rebound to his old form could also make him a trade asset in 2020 as well.

  1. Carlos Gonzalez, RF

A return to ARI with the opportunity to play his former team a bunch?  Could be attractive if revenge is on his wish list.  Assuming the Dbacks move an OF or two, he could get a lot more playing time.

  1. J. Ramos, RP

A RP with solid results and he won’t cost much.  A good buy for any rebuilding team to potentially flip at the deadline.

  1. Stephen Vogt, C

With a potential upgrade needed at C and a likely opening at 1B, Vogt could get some regular playing time if healthy.  Due to injuries and a lost 2018 season, he won’t cost much more than a couple million.

 

Top 3 Trade Possibilities:

  1. Diamondbacks trade SP Zack Greinke & OF Steven Souza to the Astros for RF Josh Reddick & prospect SP Forest Whitley (#1)

The Astros window is closing and they are desperately in need of frontline pitching.  With Dallas Keuchel and Charlie Morton hitting free agency this year and Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole hitting next year, they need to find a potential replacement.  With Greinke’s huge contract, he won’t cost much in terms of prospects as someone like Kluber would command, but he isn’t free.  The Diamondbacks can take advantage of this and extract the Astros’ top prospect plus a solid OF in Reddick.  Reddick, owed $26M over the next two years, helps offset some of the cost for HOU.  Souza has two years of team control left and would come at a much cheaper rate than Reddick, but provides more pop and potentially better results if he bounces back to his old form.  In addition to the financial liability absolved by moving Greinke, they get a potential future ace in Whitley.

  1. Diamondbacks trade RP Archie Bradley & OF David Peralta to the Braves for prospects OF Cristian Pache (#6), SP Luis Gohara (#7), and a low A prospect

Archie Bradley is three years from free agency and the time may never be better to sell high on their former top prospect.  Additionally, David Peralta is two years away and could be reunited with former teammate Ender Inciarte.  The Braves get a controllable, young stud bullpen arm in Bradley and a big bat in Peralta to slide into the middle of their lineup.  The Diamondbacks get two players very close to the big leagues and stock their depleted farm system at the same time.

  1. Diamondbacks trade 3B Jake Lamb to the Cardinals for 2B Kolton Wong, C Carson Kelly, & prospect 3B Nolan Gorman (#2)

Like Bradley, Lamb is two years from free agency and may not be a part of their long-term plans.  Regardless, extract the talent now!  To maximize the return, the Diamondbacks can take the 2 years and $17.75M remaining on Wong’s contract.  Gorman, taken 19th overall in the 2018 MLB Draft out of high school, would be a great piece to add to their farm system and would likely be ready to contribute in a few years.  In Carson Kelly, they get a solid player that has been perpetually blocked by Yadi Molina in STL.

 

Bold Prediction:

  • Diamondbacks trade 1B Paul Goldschmidt & C Alex Avila to the Yankees for C Gary Sanchez

From the outside, the Yankees seem tired of Gary Sanchez behind the plate and their window to compete (as always in NY) is now.  The Yankees get one of the top 1B in the game and a part-time catcher to platoon with Austin Romine in exchange for four years of Gary Sanchez.  Not necessarily the flashiest move, as most are anticipating Goldy to be traded… but this would be a solid return for Arizona if they think Sanchez is a catcher long-term.

 

Other MLB Offseason Predictions

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Author: @TheCombineJosh

The Combine is where sports and and the fans can unite and discuss their favorite topics. Stay tuned as we grow!

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