Instant Analysis – Jeurys Familia signs with the Mets

A quick look into the signing of Jeurys Familia by the New York Mets

This offseason, I will be diving into the notable moves made and their impact to their individual teams and potential fantasy baseball implications.

Jeurys Familia has reportedly agreed to a 3 year/$30M deal to return to the New York Mets.  I had Familia going back to the Mets (to be their closer) for 3 years and $36M in my Presidente’s 2018-2019 MLB Offseason Free Agent Predictions.

This one is a little surprising because you would think he could’ve found a closing gig somewhere… I mean this is a guy that had 51 saves in 2016 for the Mets…  Maybe he wanted to show loyalty to the team that stood by him after he was arrested for domestic violence?  Who knows?

The Mets paid damn near “closer money” for Familia to setup for Diaz and they are looking at a formidable 7-8-9 in 2019.  Familia finished 2018 in Oakland and combined to throw 72 IP, 3.13 ERA (2.65 FIP) and 83 K/21 BB.

Overall the money is high for a setup man, but less than I expected him to get.  I think there would be better deals for setup men but their FAMILIArity probably goes a long way… further than that lame dad joke.

Grade – B+

 

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*Photo by Arturo Pardavila III

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Instant Analysis – Tanner Roark traded to the Reds

A quick look into the trade of Tanner Roark to the Reds

This offseason, I will be diving into the notable moves made and their impact to their individual teams and potential fantasy baseball implications.

For the Reds:

They receive a SP with the ability to eat innings. The last two seasons, Roark has left a lot to be desired and I thought he would be a non-tender candidate. He averaged 181.2 IP per year with a 4.50 ERA and a 4.20 FIP. He doesn’t strike out many batters out and doesn’t light up a radar gun… but like Ivan Nova, you know he’ll be out there every five days. Like the White Sox trade for Nova, I think the Reds would’ve been better off signing someone via free agency. The bright side is he is a groundball pitcher and the Reds should have a good defense behind him?

Grade – C-

For the Nationals:

They save ~$9M… that’s it. The guy they got in return, Tanner Rainey, got lit up in his debut last season and has mediocre minor league stats. I can’t see him being anything more than AAA depth, if anything. Again, Roark should’ve been non-tendered.

Grade – C

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Instant Analysis – Lance Lynn signs with the Rangers

A quick look into the signing of Lance Lynn by the Texas Rangers

This offseason, I will be diving into the notable moves made and their impact to their individual teams and potential fantasy baseball implications.

 

A guy I didn’t even have on my top 30 free agents, Lance Lynn signed a 3 year deal for $30M with the Texas Rangers.

Guys… this absolutely blows my mind.  A guy with a penchant to give up the long ball and coming off a bad year (4.84 ERA and 3.84 FIP) after pitching in the AL for the first time, is handed 3 years and $30M by a rebuilding team.

Rumors had the Rangers in on Charlie Morton, who signed today with the Rays for $30M… did Jon Daniels decide to just reallocate those funds to a worse pitcher?  If you’re rebuilding, you sign high-upside guys to one year deals and try to flip them at the deadline… guys like Matt Harvey, Gio Gonzalez, etc.

Lance Lynn COULD do a mediocre job for the Rangers, but this is a case of too long of a commitment and for a team that isn’t competing in 2019.

Grade – D

 

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*Photo by Keith Allison

Instant Analysis – Charlie Morton signs with the Rays

A quick look into the signing of Charlie Morton by the Tampa Bay Rays

This offseason, I will be diving into the notable moves made and their impact to their individual teams and potential fantasy baseball implications.

 

Again… so close, but yet so far.  Charlie Morton has reportedly agreed to a 2 year/$30M deal with the Tampa Bay Rays.  I had Charlie Morton going to Philadelphia for 2 years and $36M in my Presidente’s 2018-2019 MLB Offseason Free Agent Predictions.  I think he is one of the best deals available this winter in terms of performance and no worries of a long-term contract.

Time for another blind test for two free agent contracts signed by pitchers and their last two seasons before free agency.  Eerily similar stats.

Player A (Age 37)

64 GS, 3.27 ERA, 27-20, 416 IP, 339 K/100 BB, 3.67 FIP, 5.3WAR

Player B (Age 35)

55 GS, 3.36 ERA, 29-10, 313.2 IP, 364 K/114 BB, 3.53 FIP, 5.3 WAR

 

Now let us see who they are and their contracts.

 

Player A

John Lackey – 2 years/$32M

Player B

Charlie Morton – 2 years/$30M

Overall, I think this is a great deal for the Rays… depending on how they use him.  I have to assume he would occupy a normal starting rotation spot and that would be a great #2 behind Cy Young winner Blake Snell.  At only 2 years, there is also limited risk for the frugal Rays and he will be off their books by the time they need to trade Snell away.

Grade – A-

 

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*Photo by Keith Allison

Instant Analysis – Jordy Mercer signs with the Tigers

A quick look into the signing of Jordy Mercer by the Detroit Tigers.

This offseason, I will be diving into the notable moves made and their impact to their individual teams and potential fantasy baseball implications.

The Tigers continued their bargain bin shopping with another quick strike by signing SS Jordy Mercer to a 1 year deal worth $5.25M with $250k in possible incentives.

With the departure of Jose Iglesias, the Tigers were clearly in the market for a SS. With the team having little hope of being relevant in 2019 and limited payroll flexibility, they were destined to sign someone of this mold. While he isn’t as good defensively as Iglesias, he has some pop to add to the lineup. Obviously, don’t expect much from him in fantasy… even in the deepest of leagues.

I think Mercer was smart to grab the money early here, rather than hope to be some team’s stopgap to a rookie/backup plan to Machado. Here he is guaranteed playing time and can hope to rebuild his value in 2019.

Grade – B-

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*Photo by Keith Allison

Instant Analysis – Ivan Nova traded to the White Sox

A quick look into the trade of Ivan Nova to the White Sox

Nova

This offseason, I will be diving into the notable moves made and their impact to their individual teams and potential fantasy baseball implications.

In a very under-the-radar trade made during the Winter Meetings, the Pirates traded SP Ivan Nova to the White Sox for prospect SP Yordi Rosario and $500k in international signing slot money.

For the White Sox:

They receive a much-needed SP with the ability to eat innings.  Over the past three seasons, Nova has averaged 170 IP per year with a 4.16 ERA and a nice 1.7 BB/9.  However, the guy isn’t going to strike many guys out or blow you away with anything in particular… but you can count on him suiting up every five days and that is rare in the Southside.  I think the Sox would’ve been better off signing someone via free agency, but they didn’t give up much.

Grade – C-

 

For the Pirates:

This part is easy… they save ~$9.2M and receive $500k in international spending money.   In Rosario, they get what I like to call a “lotto ticket”.  This is a 19 year old kid in rookie ball with decent stats (56 IP in 2018, 2.89 ERA and 70 K/12 BB).  Will he make it to the majors?  Probably not.  But the move allows the Buc to reallocate those dollars to areas of need.  Nova won’t necessarily be missed in a rotation including Archer, Taillon, Williams, Musgrove, Kuhl, and Keller.  A good move for Pittsburgh to find someone to take his entire contract off your hands and net a marginal return.

Grade – B

 

 

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*Photo by Ian D’Andrea

Instant Analysis – Nathan Eovaldi re-signs with the Red Sox

A quick look into the signing of Nathan Eovaldi by the Boston Red Sox

This offseason, I will be diving into the notable moves made and their impact to their individual teams and potential fantasy baseball implications.

 

In a move I predicted in my Presidente’s 2018-2019 MLB Offseason Free Agent Predictions piece roughly a month ago, Nathan Eovaldi signed with the Red Sox for 4 years and $67.5M (I predicted 4/$70M… pay the man!)

This was a great strike early on by Red Sox GM Dave Dombrowski.  With Chris Sale and Rick Porcello scheduled to hit free agency after the 2019 season, he was able to retain an electric arm that could easily slide behind David Price in the rotation if they both leave.

If/when the Red Sox hit the postseason, they can have a Sale/Price/Porcello rotation with Eovaldi serving as a “fireman” (or even closer depending how their offseason pans out).  That is a pretty formidable rotation to run into…

The only thing keeping this from being an “A” is the health concerns surrounding his arm and the fourth year.  However, this is a gamble a big-market team like the Red Sox can make.

Grade – B+

 

More Instant Analysis – Trades/ Transactions

 

*Photo by Keith Allison