FanDuel NBA DFS 1/25/19 Value Plays

@TheCombineJosh give his best value plays for the day

There are ten games on the NBA DFS slate for Friday, January 25th and here are The Combine Presidente’s value picks for the day.  I typically play one lineup per night on FanDuel for fun and you can check my results from the previous night at the bottom of the article.  Follow @TheCombineSports and @TheCombineJosh on Twitter for updated information.

Games:

WAS @ ORL (ORL -3.5, O/U 218.5)

NYK @ BKN (BKN -9.5, O/U 223)

MIA @ CLE (MIA -8.5, O/U 208.5)

LAC @ CHI (LAC -5.5, O/U 220.5)

TOR @ HOU (TOR -3, O/U 227.5)

SAC @ MEM (MEM -2, O/U 212.5)

DET @ DAL (DAL -4.5, O/U 209)

CHA @ MIL (MIL -11.5, O/U 230.5)

PHO @ DEN (DEN -16, O/U 224)

MIN @ UTAH (UTAH -11, O/U 218.5)

 

Value Plays:

PG Shabazz Napier ($3800)

  • With Dinwiddie out, I think Napier sees some minutes tonight.  I’m taking a flier on Napier tonight and he could be the “lowest score drop”… but worth it (Bonus pick: Ellie Okobo ($3600), I’m playing both tonight). Follow me on twitter for where I’m putting those extra dollars tonight.

SG Justin Holiday ($4900)

  • With Kyle Anderson out for MEM, Holiday will see a spike in minutes… and hopefully output.

SF Gary Harris ($4400)

  • Harris just returned from injury and is still cheap.  An easy 5x-er tonight vs a depleted PHO team.

PF Paul Milsap ($5800)

  • With PHO potentially having Ayton, Warren, and Holmes out tonight, this could be a big game on the boards for Milsap and he can have his way offensively (as will Jokic). (Bonus pick: Josh Jackson ($5300)

C Jarrett Allen ($6600)

  • Jarrett Allen should have his way with a bad Knicks team that is missing bigs… it could realistically be a 20/20 game

 

Presidente’s Lock of the Night:

PF Paul Milsap ($5800)

 

Previous Night’s Results:

PG Seth Curry ($3500)

  • 36.7 FD Points

SG Kentavius Caldwell-Pope ($4200) * My lock of the night

  • 21.9 FD Points

SF Kelly Oubre ($6000)

  • 48.7 FD Points

PF Dragan Bender ($4600) 

  • 27.6 FD Points

C Jahlil Okafor ($5500)

  • 26.6 FD Points
Advertisements

FanDuel NBA DFS 1/24/19 Value Plays

@TheCombineJosh give his best value plays for the day

There are only four games on the NBA DFS slate for Thursday, January 24th and here are The Combine Presidente’s value picks for the day.  I typically play one lineup per night on FanDuel for fun and you can check my results from the previous night at the bottom of the article.  Follow @TheCombineSports and @TheCombineJosh on Twitter for updated information.

Games:

GS @ WAS (GS -9, O/U 234.5)

NO @ OKC (OKC -12.5, O/U 233.5)

POR @ PHO (POR -7.5, O/U 220.5)

MIN @ LAL (MIN -1.5, O/U 230)

 

Value Plays:

PG Seth Curry ($3500)

  • The PG position is thin tonight as far as values… Elfrid Payton is the only other “value” and I see him struggling to even do a 4x.  I’m taking a flier on Seth Curry tonight and hope Lillard gets a scratch.

SG Kentavius Caldwell-Pope ($4200)

  • With Ball and LBJ out, he will get minutes. At only $4200, could be a big value play/drop the lowest score.  With the savings, you can grab an elite player tonight.  Follow me on twitter for where I’m putting those dollars tonight.

SF Kelly Oubre ($6000)

  • Oubre may get some minutes tonight thanks to the injuries to PHO.  I like his chances of upside on a day with only 4 games.

PF Dragan Bender ($4600)

  • With Ayton, Warren, and potentially Holmes out tonight, this draft bust could have an opportunity to make a case for his next contract.

C Jahlil Okafor ($5500)

  • I’m not sure how he’s still $5500… but I’ll take him again tonight with Davis out.  He has put up 41 and 42 FD points in his last 2 games

 

Presidente’s Lock of the Night:

SG Kentavius Caldwell-Pope ($4200)

 

Previous Night’s Results:

PG Fred VanVleet ($4600)

  • 18.9 FD Points

SG Jordan Clarkson ($4700)

  • 15.5 FD Points

SF Justice Winslow ($6400)

  • 13.9 FD Points

PF Kenneth Faried ($5000) * My lock of the night

  • 38.1 FD Points

C Jahlil Okafor ($5500)

  • 42 FD Points

FanDuel NBA DFS 1/23/19 Value Plays

@TheCombineJosh give his best value plays for the day

There are ten games on the NBA DFS slate for Wednesday, January 23rd and here are The Combine Presidente’s value picks for the day.  I typically play one lineup per night on FanDuel for fun and you can check my results from the previous night at the bottom of the article.  Follow @TheCombineSports and @TheCombineJosh on Twitter for updated information.

Games:

TOR @ IND (IND -5, O/U 218)

CLE @ BOS (BOS -16.5, O/U 216.5)

ORL @ BKN (BKN -6.5, O/U 219)

LAC @ MIA (MIA -5, O/U 215.5)

HOU @ NYK (HOU -7.5, O/U 226)

ATL @ CHI (CHI -1.5, O/U 222)

SAS @ PHI (PHI -4, O/U 226)

CHA @ MEM (CHA -1.5, O/U 209)

DET @ NO (NO -5, O/U 221.5)

DEN @ UTAH (UTAH -3.5, O/U 216)

 

Value Plays:

PG Fred VanVleet ($4600)

  • With Leonard expected to rest again tonight, VanVleet should see increased action… and the lil bastard put up over 41 FD Points last night for $4800.

SG Jordan Clarkson ($4700)

  • Ditto. At under $5k, could be a big GPP play.  With the savings, you can grab an elite player tonight.  Follow me on twitter for where I’m putting those dollars tonight.

SF Justice Winslow ($6400)

  • With Winslow playing “point guard”, he has a high ceiling every night and I like the risk tonight.

PF Kenneth Faried ($5000)

  • Look for the man-imal to grab a ton of rebounds for his new team in HOU.  He is easily capable of a 6-8x game tonight.

C Jahlil Okafor ($5500)

  • I am not a fan of Okafor… but with Davis out, he has the most to gain.  Should easily see 30+ minutes tonight barring foul trouble.

 

Presidente’s Lock of the Night:

PF Kenneth Faried ($5000)

 

Previous Night’s Results:

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($3900)

  • 13.7 FD Points (took 2nd most shots last night… just didn’t hit)

SG Avery Bradley ($3800)

  • 24.5 FD Points

SF Mikal Bridges ($4000)  * My lock of the night

  • 19 FD Points (also took 2nd most shots last night… also didn’t hit)

PF Dario Saric ($3900)

  • 14.3 FD Points

C DeAndre Jordan ($7000)

  • 53.2 FD Points

PF Dragan Bender ($3800) * Per my Twitter, switched out Saric for him

  • 27 FD Points

FanDuel NBA DFS 1/22/19 Value Plays

@TheCombineJosh give his best value plays for the day

There are only four games on the NBA DFS slate for Tuesday, January 22nd and here are The Combine Presidente’s value picks for the day.  I typically play one lineup per night on FanDuel for fun and you can check my lineups from last night at the bottom of the article.  Follow @TheCombineSports and @TheCombineJosh on Twitter for updated information.

Games:

Kings @ Raptors (TOR -10, O/U 228.5)

Blazers @ Thunder (OKC -6, O/U 227)

Clippers @ Mavericks (DAL -4, O/U 222)

Timberwolves @ Suns (MIN -4.5, O/U 230)

 

Value Plays:

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($3900)

  • With Gallinari out and Lou Williams banged up, loock for SGA to get some extra minutes on the court tonight.  At under $4k, could be a big GPP play.  With the savings, you can grab an elite player tonight.  Follow me on twitter for where I’m putting those dollars tonight.

SG Avery Bradley ($3800)

  • Ditto

SF Mikal Bridges ($4000)

  • PHO is giving him 30 minutes/game and he can fill up a stat sheet in a hurry.  This is an easy 5-6x player in my opinion tonight.

PF Dario Saric ($3900)

  • With Tibbs no longer coaching MIN, Saric has seen some extra minutes over Taj Gibson and produced a few 5x games lately… look for that to continue tonight in what could easily be a blowout game.

C DeAndre Jordan ($7000)

  • For no reason other than revenge, I like Jordan vs his former team tonight.  He’s been steady as a 4-5x/game player lately and I think the extra edge is there tonight for a 6-7x game.

 

Presidente’s Lock of the Night:

SF Mikal Bridges ($4000)

NFL Conference Championship Bet of the Week

Spencer Aguiar digs into his top rowdy bet for the Conference Championship.

Welcome back to The Combine Sports and another edition of the Bet of the Week article. We increased our record to (8-2-1) with our two-team teaser of the Kansas City Chiefs and New Orleans Saints. Recommending exotic wagers isn’t something that I often do, but the Divisional Round featured an interesting dynamic that we don’t often see. The general public found themselves on all four road underdogs, while most of the wise guy money poured in on the favorites. The unusual dichotomy of the bet splits presented a unique opportunity to tease the Saints and Chiefs to around a pick’em in both contests.

It is rare to see the public backing the underdog team(s), but the AFC/NFC Conference Championships are beginning to take an identical shape to last weekend. At the time of writing this article, 51 percent of the spread bets and 59 percent of the moneyline wagers are coming in on the Los Angeles Rams over the New Orleans Saints, and while it isn’t as extreme as the first game, the New England Patriots are getting slightly under 50 percent of the spread wagers and nearly 60 percent of the moneyline bets.

The Los Angeles Rams vs. the New Orleans Saints (-3.0) has seen some interesting movement to begin the week. The Saints quickly jumped up to -3.5 within a few hours of the market opening but some public money has sent this line back down to -3.0 at most books. The total has stayed around 57 points all week and is a challenging market to enter. I lean towards the under being the “right” side, but offensive fireworks could ensue, especially from New Orleans.

I think Los Angeles could find themselves in an awkward position this week, one in which they aren’t able to get their ground game going against the Saints’ third-ranked defense in rushing efficiency. Without the ability to get a tempo set on the ground, the Rams’ passing offense could also struggle. If you take away the Week 11 shootout against Kansas City and the meaningless game during Week 17, Jared Goff has been brutal without wide receiver Cooper Kupp. From Weeks 1-10, Goff averaged 313.4 yards, throwing for 22 touchdowns and committing only six total turnovers with Kupp available. But in Weeks 12-16 and the Divisional Round, he has averaged 225.6 yards per game, which includes a total of two touchdowns and nine total turnovers. I think this game could turn ugly quickly and believe the Saints will win going away.

New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-3.0): O/U 56.0

In what has become a yearly tradition, the second-seeded New England Patriots will take part in the AFC Championship game for the eighth consecutive season. However, their opponent and venue will be unique. For the first time in Chiefs franchise history, the AFC Championship game will be held in Kansas City. It will also be the first conference title game held outside of New England, Denver or Indianapolis in 15 seasons.

New England has had an up-and-down year, going 8-0 at home but only 3-5 on the road. Those splits are not necessarily uncommon for an NFL team, but the lack of success outside of Foxboro is alarming. The Patriots graded out slightly worse in offensive success rate during their games on the road, but the biggest issue has been their defense. At home, New England ranked 13th against the run and fifth against the pass. Conversely, though, they rated just 28th in success against the run and 18th against the pass in games outside of Massachusetts.

The general public can be forgetful with their recollection of a season. I know we have seen the Patriots pull Houdini-esque escapes year after year, but their regression has been ignored after the thorough thumping they put on the Los Angeles Chargers. I did think New England looked good against the Chargers, but a lot of that had to do with Los Angeles being in a terrible position. The Chargers looked like a team on fumes, which would make sense given the fact that they were playing their third straight road game and second straight early game on Sunday.

The Patriots should be given credit for taking advantage of an ideal situation, but let’s pump the brakes when it comes to forgiving their backslide this year. Rob Gronkowski has been virtually non-existent for the team since Week 14 and has only caught five passes in the Patriots’ last four games. He isn’t right physically, and the team doesn’t have many weapons to turn to after Josh Gordon’s suspension. Julian Edelman and James White are the only two players producing as of late, and a two-man show will not get the job done against a prolific Kansas City offense.

Bill Belichick is a mastermind when it comes to taking away what you do best, so Chiefs running back Damien Williams will need to be productive to open up the passing game for Kansas City, but it is difficult for me to imagine that the Patriots will have enough firepower to keep up in this battle. New England may be able to dictate some of the early proceedings, which could result in this game being slightly lower scoring than the public is anticipating, but I’d imagine that we see the Chiefs find some rhythm and eventually pull away late.


Rowdy Bold Prediction: Kansas City 31 – New England 23

Recommended Bet: Kansas City (-3)


Bet of the Week Record : 
(8-2-1)

FanDuel NBA DFS 1/18/19 Value Plays

@TheCombineJosh give his best value plays for the day

There are seven games on the NBA DFS slate for Friday, January 18th and here are The Combine Presidente’s value picks for the day.  I typically play one lineup per night on FanDuel for fun and you can check my lineups from last night at the bottom of the article.  Follow @TheCombineSports and @TheCombineJosh on Twitter for updated information.

Games:

Nets @ Magic (BKN -1, O/U 217)

Grizzlies @ Celtics (BOS -11, O/U 208)

Heat @ Pistons (DET -2, O/U 207)

Spurs @ Timberwolves (MIN -1.5, O/U 225)

Cavs @ Jazz (UTA -15.5, O/U 214.5)

Warriors @ Clippers (GS -7, O/U 241.5)

Pelicans @ Blazers (POR -3, O/U 233)

 

Value Plays:

PG Spencer Dinwiddie ($6000)

  • Coming off a big 33 point game, look for Dinwiddie to see more looks with a BKN team decimated by injuries.

SG Lou Williams ($6800)

  • Not a ton of SGs I like tonight to go 5x+… but imagining Lou Will alternating 3s with Steph Curry tonight seems like it could be fun to watch in a game with the highest O/U.

SF DeMarre Carroll ($5000)

  • My lineup took advantage with Carroll in the other night when he scored 30+ FD points for $4800… with Crabbe and Dudley out, look for similar minutes and production.

PF Aaron Gordon ($7200)

  • Very little value at PF tonight, but look for Gordon to take advantage with a short bench vs a BKN team missing some size.

C Ante Zizic ($4200)

  • The Cavs are tanking and they are going to let their young guys play.  He may not put up a huge game but this price, you can use the savings in other areas and drop his score if needed.  Follow me on twitter for where I’m putting those dollars tonight.

 

Presidente’s Lock of the Night:

SG Lou Williams ($6800)

 

Previous Night’s Results:

PG Fred VanVleet ($5000)

  • 26.4 FD Points (With Lowry playing, I updated on Twitter)

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($4500)

  • 20.9 FD Points

SF Norman Powell ($3600)

  • 12.2 FD Points

PF Pascal Siakam ($6700) * My lock of the night

  • 39.9 FD Points

C Tyson Chandler ($3700)

  • 19.4 FD Points

FanDuel NBA DFS 1/17/19 Value Plays

@TheCombineJosh give his best value plays for the day

There are six games on the NBA DFS slate for Thursday, January 17th and here are The Combine Presidente’s value picks for the day.  I typically play one lineup per night on FanDuel for fun and you can check my lineups from last night at the bottom of the article.  Follow @TheCombineSports and @TheCombineJosh on Twitter for updated information.

Games:

Knicks @ Wizards (WAS -7.5, O/U 227.5) *3 pm London Game*

76ers @ Pacers (IND -3.5, O/U 224.5)

Kings @ Hornets (CHA -3, O/U 229.5)

Suns @ Raptors (TOR -8.5, O/U 222.5)

Bulls @ Nuggets (DEN -14, O/U 213)

Lakers @ Thunder (OKC -10.5, O/U 227)

 

Value Plays:

PG Fred VanVleet ($5000)

  • Kyle Lowry is sitting for TOR and PHO doesn’t have much competition at PG.  This is an easy call.

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($4500)

  • No LeBron, Lonzo vs Westbrook, and PG13 D-ing up Kuzma/Ingram, dare I say a 50 FD point night for KCP?

SF Norman Powell ($3600)

  • Kawhi Leonard is getting the night off, Powell is all upside at this price and a must-start.

PF Pascal Siakam ($6700)

  • With Lowry and Leonard out, Siakam should see extra minutes (40+?) with the small bench tonight… and extra chances offensively.  Big 5x opportunity here.

C Tyson Chandler ($3700)

  • Luke Walton is starting Chandler over McGee again tonight and I have to imagine he’s going to get every opportunity to stay o the court tonight to prove his worth as they assess their trade deadline options.  At this price, you can use the savings in other areas.  Follow me on twitter for where I’m putting those dollars tonight.

 

Presidente’s Lock of the Night:

PF Pascal Siakam ($6700)

 

Previous Night’s Results:

PG Jalen Brunson ($3700)

  • 9.7 FD Points

SG Austin Rivers ($5000) * My lock of the night

  • 34 FD Points

SF DeMarre Carroll ($4800)

  • 29.5 FD Points

PF Ed Davis ($4100)

  • 3.8 FD Points

C Al Horford ($6400)

  • 37.9 FD Points

SF Rodney Hood ($4100) * Posted on Twitter late, follow me for updates

  • 27.8 FD Points